Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan Thompson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Jordan Thompson has recently secured 51.50% of points on his second serve, compared to Brandon Nakashima's 49.14%. Could this slight edge indicate a stronger serve performance?
• When it comes to returning serves, Brandon Nakashima surpasses Jordan Thompson by winning 43.49% of second serve return points versus Thompson’s 40.66%.
• For first serve returns, Nakashima again holds an advantage with 24.20% while Thompson stands at 22.85%.
• Under pressure, Thompson saves 62.82% of breakpoints, slightly more than Nakashima's 60.43%.
• Jordan Thompson has a marginally lower match win rate over the past year at 48.48% compared to Nakashima's 50.82%.
• Both players excel on the indoor hard surface, with Thompson winning 65% of such matches and Nakashima at 70%.
• In recent tournaments, Nakashima has played more in the Main tour and won 54.29% of his matches, whereas Thompson's recent success was mainly at the Masters series where he won 53.85%.
• Head-to-head, Nakashima has a leading edge over Thompson, winning 4 out of their 6 encounters.
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Thompson has recently secured wins 60% of the time, compared to Nakashima’s 41% success rate.
• Thompson has faced tougher competition, with opponents having an average rank of 57.09, while Nakashima's opponents average a rank of 73.67.

Editorial Prediction (September 25, 2025, UTC):

As we prepare for another intriguing match between Jordan Thompson and Brandon Nakashima, past performances and recent statistics provide a close contest view. While both players demonstrate strengths, Nakashima generally edges out Thompson regarding return game efficiency, slightly topping in first and second returns.

On the serving front, Thompson shows a stronger second-serve performance, capturing a higher percentage of won points compared to Nakashima. This could be crucial under match pressure, providing him with opportunities to maintain service games.

Match results in the past year give a slight nod to Nakashima in overall win percentage, though Thompson has demonstrated resilience in high-pressure situations, notably saving more break points.

Surface familiarity favors both players, yet Nakashima displays a stronger winning history on indoor hard courts, where this match will take place, further solidifying his advantage.

While Thompson has faced more highly ranked opponents and prevails often in deciding sets, Nakashima's consistent head-to-head success and return game effectiveness position him as the likely winner for this upcoming encounter. Therefore, based on these factors, Brandon Nakashima is projected to emerge victorious in their upcoming match.